Ukraine Quarterly Report Q1 2025 Produced by UkraineInvest in partnership with UBN Network

📊 Executive Summary – Ukraine Quarterly Report Q1 2025

Despite facing continued geopolitical and economic challenges, Ukraine’s economy demonstrates resilience and steady recovery. The newly released Q1 2025 Quarterly Report offers a data-driven overview of the country’s macroeconomic landscape, key market trends, and investment outlook.

🔑 Key Highlights:

• 2025 GDP growth is projected at 3.9%, slightly above 2024’s 3.6%.
• Q1 growth slowed to 0.5% YoY due to infrastructure damage and rising uncertainty.
• Inflation rose to 13.4%, prompting a rate hike by the NBU to 15.5%.
• The hryvnia remained stable, though slight weakening is expected later in the year.
• Private consumption remains strong, driven by a 16% rise in real wages.
• Business sentiment is improving, with NBU’s index climbing to 46.9 in February.

Meanwhile, European partners have significantly increased their support, with Germany nearly doubling its contribution and the EU launching an €800 billion defence package.

📈 The second quarter is expected to bring moderate improvement in economic indicators, though war-related risks and high prices remain a challenge for sustained recovery.